2010 CFL Western Preview - British Columbia Lions
Football Betting Lines
06/21/2010 -
Vancouver, BC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - West. 2009 record
- 8-10. Playoff result: Lost 56-18 to Montreal in Grey Cup Playoffs Finals.
Stadium - B.C. Place. Capacity - 29,706. Colors - Orange, black and silver.
Even though the Lions of British Columbia finished the 2009 regular season two
games under .500, the squad still caught enough breaks to take part in the
postseason. However, even though that might be a positive for the Lions to
take from last year, there's no doubt that the club and head coach Wally Buono
have their sights set on moving up from fourth place in the West Division and
making a more sustainable run in the playoffs this time around.
Buono, who has a record of 82-43-1 since taking over BC in 2003, knows what it
takes to get to the Grey Cup Championship and win it all, having done so
against Montreal in 2006, but the question is whether or not he has the talent
to get the Lions back to those lofty heights.
Even though BC quarterbacks completed almost 61 percent of their pass attempts
a season ago, the position was in disarray with as many as five different guys
attempting at least 28 passes during the campaign. Buck Pierce did some of the
damage for the group as he made good on 63.2 percent of his chances, but he
still had more interceptions (12) than touchdowns (10). Despite attempting
barely half the number of passes as Pierce, Jarious Jackson logged a team-best
12 TDs, giving him an even 50 for his career with BC.
With Pierce no longer on the roster, the job is Jackson's to lose, which means
he will have to withstand the pressure brought by Travis Lulay and Casey
Printers. Back in 2004, Printers was a beast for the Lions as he threw for
5,088 yards and 35 touchdowns, against just 10 interceptions. Clearly,
Printers has the ability to step in and take over the position, so having a
healthy fight for playing time might be just what these guys need on offense.
The most productive receiver for the Lions a year ago was Geroy Simon, a
slotback out of the University of Maryland who has been with the club for a
decade now. Simon has logged at least 1,200 yards receiving in each of the
last seven campaigns and led the squad with 1,239 yards in 2009, but the end
result was just six touchdowns. While Simon was moving the ball between the
20's, it was Paris Jackson who had the most receiving TDs with eight on 76
catches for the team. Expected to give Jackson a run for his money at the
position is the recently drafted Shawn Gore, that is as long as Gore makes it
north of the border after signing with the Green Bay Packers.
Not to be lost in all of this is Emmanuel Arceneaux out of Alcorn State. As a
rookie last year Arceneaux put up some impressive numbers with 63 catches for
858 yards and seven touchdowns, so it is expected that those stats will
increase given his familiarity with the system.
Another area that will need considerable attention this year is at running
back, seeing as how Martell Mallett played just one year with the Lions and
then signed with the Philadelphia Eagles of the NFL in January. Mallett, who
set a franchise record with 213 yards rushing against Montreal in early
September, was also fifth on the team with his 43 receptions for 342 yards and
two touchdowns.
Finding a replacement for Mallett will be a challenge, especially when you
take into consideration that the next two leading ground gainers for the Lions
in '09 were quarterbacks (Pierce and Jackson). After spending a year away from
football, Yonus Davis has been brought in to try and fill in some of the gaps
at the rushing positions. British Columbia actually ranked fourth in the
league in rushing per game with 115.5 yards per outing, but in doing so the
club also left quarterbacks open to unnecessary hits.
Overall, the defense for the Lions a year ago was dismal, allowing 27.9 ppg to
rank second-to-last in the league and if not for the lackluster efforts of
Winnipeg, the rankings would be even more disappointing for BC. The secondary
permitted opponents to generate 8.1 yards per pass, tied with Edmonton for the
most in the CFL in '09. A veteran of 12 seasons in the league, safety Barron
Miles kept games from getting out of hand as he led the league with eight
interceptions, giving him 66 for his career, yet he has chosen to retire and
that leaves yet another glaring hole that has to be plugged.
Now a coach with the Lions, Miles will have the opportunity to help groom the
players that will be taking over for him in the secondary. Already playing a
major role in the defensive backfield is Ryan Phillips, a defensive back who
was tied for second on the team last year with four picks, along with Korey
Banks.
The stability of the quarterback position is paramount for the Lions, yet
that's still just one piece of the larger puzzle that coach Buono will have to
patiently piece together in order to give the Lions back their roar.
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2010 CFL Western Preview - Calgary Stampeders >>
Calgary, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - West. 2009 record -
10-7-1. Playoff result: Lost, 27-17, to Saskatchewan in the Grey Cup Playoffs
Finals. Stadium - McMahon Stadium. Capacity - 35,650. Colors - Red, white and
black
2010 CFL Western Preview - Edmonton Eskimos >>
Edmonton, AB (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - West. 2009 record
- 9-9. Playoff result: Lost, 24-21, to Calgary in division semifinal. Stadium
- Commonwealth Stadium. Capacity - 60,081. Colors - Green, gold, black and
white.
2010 CFL Eastern Preview - Hamilton Tiger-Cats >>
Hamilton, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - East. 2009 Record:
9-9. Playoff Result: Finished first in East Division, lost in first round of
Playoffs. Stadium - Ivor Wynne Stadium. Capacity - 29,600. Colors: Black &
Gold.
2010 CFL Eastern Preview - Montreal Alouettes >>
Montreal, QC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - East. 2009 Record:
15-3. Playoff Result: First in Eastern Division, won 28-27 in Grey Cup
Championship. Stadium - Percival Molson Stadium. Capacity - (20,202). Colors:
Red, blue, s
2010 CFL Western Preview - Saskatchewan Roughriders >>
Regina, SK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - FACTS & FIGURES: Division - West. 2009 record -
10-7-1. Playoff result: Lost, 28-27, to Montreal in the Grey Cup Championship.
Stadium - Mosaic Stadium at Taylor Field. Capacity - 30,945. Colors - Green,
white,
The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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